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5月23日，市场分析师Gary Howes撰文称，英镑在5月份一直在挣扎，如果周三备受期待的4月通胀数据意外下行，这一趋势可能会延续。北京时间5月24日(周三)14:00，英国将公布4月份通胀数据。
经验法则是，如果通胀高于预期，英镑就会反弹，如果低于预期，英镑就会下跌。这只是因为市场预计，如果4月通胀数据低于预期，将意味着英国央行迟早会放弃其加息周期，而另一项数据显示，2023年至少还会有两次加息，这反过来将支撑英镑。
加拿大皇家银行首席外汇策略师Adam Cole预计，
新西兰联储“鸽派”加息25个基点，纽元短线跳水约80点！（附：利率决议简报和会议纪要原文）
Fxopen 值得信赖的交易合作伙伴,最安全和最好的交易条件，点差从 0.0 点起，低佣金和超快速执行。
注册开始人生第一桶金 FXOpen 外汇投资平台 安卓手机下载 方便可靠又安全
若4月通胀数据低于预期，将导致英镑普遍走软。
显示了英国的利差，最终由英国央行的基准利率支撑。它还显示，英镑的价值跟随这些利率走高，表明利率的任何回落都将导致英镑疲软。
因此，有证据表明，如果市场降低对英国央行未来降息的预期，英镑将面临压力。如果英国通胀低于预期，降息几乎肯定是可能发生的。
货币市场定价暗示，在4月通胀数据公布前，投资者预计英国央行还将有两次加息25个基点。
因预计英镑会走软，加拿大皇家银行资本本周正在抛售英镑兑纽元。
野村证券外汇策略师Jordan Rochester是另一位在通胀报告出炉前卖出英镑的投资者。他表示：“我们预计通胀将显著降温。”
在过去9个月中，英国有8个月的通胀率达到或超过10%，但预计一年前能源账单的大幅上涨将从数据中消失。野村证券预计英国4月份通胀将因此大幅下降，预计整体CPI可能从目前的10.1%降至约7.9%。这将低于英国央行预期的8.4%和普遍估计的8.0%。
北京时间5月24日11:00，
英镑兑美元报1.2418/20
