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周四(5月25日)，经过短暂的挣扎，
现货黄金继续下跌0.84%，收盘于1940.43，盘中最低到达1938.40，日跌幅超20个美元，创两个月来的低位。
美元兑一篮子主要货币周四连续第四个交易日走强，触及两个月高点，导致
现货黄金继续回落并跌穿关键支撑水平1950美元。隔夜美元继续其强势表现，主要是因美国数据显示，即使在美联储积极的加息周期内，经济仍有弹性。当日公布的美国上周初请失业金人数增加4,000人，至229,000人，低于路透估计的24.5万人，同时前一周的数据被大幅下修，这表明劳动力几乎没有出现裂痕的迹象。第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)环比增长年率修正值为1.3%，较上月报告的1.1%的初值有所提高。就近期美国公布的数据来看，似乎还难以透出美国2023年将出现经济衰退的迹象，
站上“C位”的光伏还需突破瓶颈！
Fxopen 值得信赖的交易合作伙伴,最安全和最好的交易条件，点差从 0.0 点起，低佣金和超快速执行。
注册开始人生第一桶金 FXOpen 外汇投资平台 安卓手机下载 方便可靠又安全
所以随着这些赌注被渐渐降低，目前美元利率也正在逐步走高。根据CME的Fedwatch工具，美联储在6月会议上加息25个基点的概率约为53%，高于周三的约36%。此外，经过四个小时的债务上限谈判会议后，美国众议院议长麦卡锡表示，谈判已经有所改善，有希望在截至日之前达成协议。债务上限僵局若最终有望解决，避险情绪得以缓解，那么黄金的避险作用也将会降下来。届时市场关注的焦点还是要回到主要央行尤其是美联储在货币政策的行动上来。
上，价格跌至九周低点，呈下降趋势，显示空头暂时夺得优势。金价在突破4月初以来的关键支撑线后触及两个月低点，目前的即时阻力位为1956美元附近。移动平均和MACD指标发出明显看跌信号，以及金价持续跌破50移动均线和月阻力线(目前在1975美元附近)，都加大了黄金的下行倾向。下方关注的支撑位置依次在1935、1925美元。若跌穿，则金价自2月至5月涨势的61.8%斐波那契回撤位1909美元的支撑显得尤为关键。而3月中旬低点1885美元附近可能成为黄金买家的最后防线。即便黄金能展开短期反弹回补，预料上方暂时也难以穿破1980阻力水平。
中国银行广东省分行王刚
仅为个人观点，不代表所在机构观点
