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上周五，基本金属夜盘交易相当活跃，其中，伦锌向上突破2200美元；伦铅因LME交易所库存大幅度下降，走高到2000美元整数关口；三月期铜向上突破了6100美元，沪铜主力最高也触及到4.4万，但盘中铜价回吐了大部分跌幅，伦铜日K线再出长上影线。
由于没有太大的基本面变动，我们认为铜价高位回撤的原因是市场对美联储加息节奏的不确定。美联储官员对6月、7月、亦或9月加息的看法并不一致，包括美元在内，市场重新将6月可能加息的预期纳入到价格体系之中。而最终的加息节奏将影响铜价在上半年、整个夏季振荡走高、走出年中高点的步伐。
因此，周内美国将要公布的3月零售销售、生产者物价指数、3月工业产出以及新屋开工、营建许可数据都会变得相当关键。这也会影响到美元指数在100点关口的表现。同时，就另外一方面，重要的需求，国家统计局将于周三公布一季度GDP、3月工业增加值、固定资产投资等指标，将显示国内经济在3月初步回暖的幅度。
基本面，上期所铜库存出现了单周近6000余吨的流出，同时，临近交割，现货铜价持有小幅升水，也能看到盘面现货价格的相对领涨、滞跌。技术上，尽管再出长上影线，沪铜再次在4.4万遇阻，但料对铜价的形态压制有限，前期多单背靠4.284.3万继续持有。
Fxopen外汇交易平台 十五年 铸就诚信，FXOPEN是首家为客户提供通过MT4平台进行ECN交易的外汇经纪商，FXOPEN MT4外汇交易平台提供了丰富的外汇账户体系，包括ECN, STP, Crypto, Micro，适合任何水平和经验及投资的交易者; FXOPEN是受ASIC和FCA多重监管的外汇交易平台，是香港财务委员会成员。
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