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——2017年第二周首个交易日，国际油价开门绿。周一（1月9日），美国原油暴泻3.56%，收于51.79美元/桶；布伦特原油暴搓3.40%，收于54.82美元/桶。日线上看，两大原油期货价格均呈现倒N形态，大规模深幅下调或就此开启。
上周末，石油咨询机构贝克·休斯公司公布的数据显示，美国页岩油厂商连续第10个星期增加钻井数量，由此引发市场恐慌，人们担心传统产油国的减产努力可能付诸东流。
2016年末，OPEC组织以及包括俄罗斯在内的另外10几个非OPEC产油国达成过去8年来的首份减产协议，各产油国总计削减产量将达到近180万桶/日。国际油价因此从45美元/桶附近加速发力上攻，价格重心抬升逾10美元/桶。
按照计划进度，产油国将在本月实现减产近120桶/日的目标。市场此前广泛认为，此举有助于市场以更快的速度重返供求平衡状态。甚至有专家预期，国际油价将在未来几个月内达到70美元/桶。
美国油厂加强套保
不过，也有一些分析师认为，至少短期内看，他们对上述预测表示谨慎。由于美国页岩油产业存在全面复苏的可能，传统产油国能否有效严格恪守自己先前作出的承诺，他们对此充满疑虑。
近期也有期货经纪商反映，美国原油厂商在2018年交货的原油期货合约上加强了套保力度，此举很可能给市场带来更大的下行压力。
花旗期货能源分析师Tim Evans在其研报中写道：“倘若油价进一步下滑，市场业已忽略的一些负面消息肯定将重新受到人们的关注。”
路透社称，就目前价格水平看，油企盈利空间已经大幅拓展，许多原先停产的页岩油企业因此纷纷复产。但是，若供给显著大幅上升，传统产油国的减产意志很可能受到动摇，持续近2年半时间的供给状态难以终结。
科威特石油部长周一表示，OPEC委员会将于1月21日、22日两天在维也纳召开会议，会议议程将就“最终监督机制”的确立展开讨论。
俄罗斯能源市场消息人士告诉路透社记者称，该国本月首周已经实现减产10万桶/日，并有望完成协议规定的30万桶/日减产总目标。
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Fxopen外汇交易平台 十五年 铸就诚信，FXOPEN是首家为客户提供通过MT4平台进行ECN交易的外汇经纪商，FXOPEN MT4外汇交易平台提供了丰富的外汇账户体系，包括ECN, STP, Crypto, Micro，适合任何水平和经验及投资的交易者; FXOPEN是受ASIC和FCA多重监管的外汇交易平台，是香港财务委员会成员。
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