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继7月初在略高于21.50处触顶之后，银价就持续下跌。银价现报在19.00，相距4月低点18.60只有40美分，相距2013年最低点18.20只有80美分。白银首先受到金价最近跌势(请看图形3)和美元强势的拖累。不幸的是，目前还没有任何信号显示两个金属将很快脱钩。所以，如果目前趋势延续，白银可能继续下破18.2019.00的关键支撑区域，如是，可能激励金融投机者建立新的空头。但这次的情绪没有前几次触及这些低点时那么悲观。所以也有可能自此反弹，尤其是长期下跌趋势线业已告破(请看图形1的周图)。换言之，我们将很快看到金价出现持久的走势。但目前难以判断方向。
与黄金不同，白银既是贵金属也是工业材料。中国是最大的白银消费国，但此全球第二大经济体8月整体进口意外减少2.4%，确实不是好消息。美国8月非农就业报告意外弱于预期也是坏消息。事实上，情绪正在继续恶化。根据上周五公布的CFTC头寸数据，截至9月2日当周，白银净多头头寸被削减近半，空头则激增。考虑到银价自那之后进一步下滑，看多头寸或已继续减少 – 周五我们将看到数据。净多头为7500张，业已处于十一周最低点。除非投机者现在开始建立新的多头头寸，否则未平仓多头头寸将屈服于压力并退出市场，从而导致银价暴跌。
但全球经济料继续复苏，这点应利好工业需求。在银价只有区区19美元的背景下，所谓的“找廉价货投机者”或许进入并再次试图保护此关键支撑位。只有在银价上涨并守在7月创下的21.50前高上方，才能确认长期下跌趋势结束。但如果下破2013年低点18.20，可能激发新的抛盘涌现，并且未来几周以及数月里可能下探15美元。
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