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财经报社(伦敦)讯 荷兰国际集团周一（12月7日）指出，周四将召开欧盟理事会会议和欧洲央行货币政策会议，前者可能会对欧元产生更大影响。我们不能排除复苏基金和英国退欧的负面结果。
美元：本周当心美债收益率
外汇市场本周以安静的方式开始。中国的数据相对健康，11月份中国贸易顺差达到创纪录的750亿美元，这一消息只会加剧人民币的看涨情况。
在上周五的美国非农就业报告疲软之后，本周的主要焦点将是在新冠疫情形势严峻导致可能实施更严厉的封锁之际，美国国会能否在9080亿美元的两党财政刺激方案上取得进展。
在重磅充足的一周中，本周的主要话题之一是美国十年期国债收益率是否突破1.00％。在这种情况下，预计日元将在交叉盘中表现不佳，也许还会出现一些较脆弱的新兴市场外汇汇率（例如南非兰特）开始承受压力的迹象。
但是，总的来说，我们怀疑任何美元的反弹都会被证明是转瞬即逝的，特别是在美联储准备提供更多刺激措施的情况下。预计美元指数可以降至90。
欧元：前往另一个动荡期
可以说，对于欧洲而言，这是重要的一周，因为周四的欧洲央行会议和欧盟理事会会议均受到瞩目。
鉴于美元空头广泛而强劲的趋势，我们怀疑欧洲央行将很难削弱欧元/美元。
而欧盟理事会会议可能会对欧洲外汇产生更大的影响。波兰和匈牙利加入欧盟复苏基金的能力（或在不理想的情况下将他们剔除出局）将在本周影响欧元。而且人们永远都不能排除一些令人失望的消息，因此应格外小心。我们确实认为欧元/美元应该得到亚洲外汇储备经理的良好需求，预期欧元/美元本周可能升至1.2250。
英镑：紧盯英国退欧
英镑/美元一直停滞在1.35水平，主要是因为英国和欧盟都没有在各自新建立的主权或公平竞争领域上软化其核心立场，这并不奇怪。与大多数分析一样，我们确实倾向于双方最终能达成协议，而且鉴于周四举行的欧盟领导人峰会这应该是达成协议的一周。我们怀疑协议最终达成可能将触发英镑/美元突破1.35的强劲涨势，并可能推升欧洲外汇兑美元汇率。
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