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全球乳品价格正在经历大跌后的恢复。新西兰乳品制造商恒天然(Fonterra)本周四(9月24日)上调了牛奶销售预期，预计今年全年利润将上调183%，并称今年截至7月底，税后利润已达到5.06亿新西兰元(3.17亿美元)，比去年同期1.79亿新西兰元显著上升。
新西兰乳业主要的出口市场中国目前经济放缓，全球原料奶价格继2013年达到历史最高后，由于生产过剩出现了持续下跌。然而，本财年下半年原料奶价格反弹了36.5%。恒天然已经将原料奶价格预期由之前的每公斤3.85新西兰元上调至4.6新西兰元。
但尽管如此，该公司CEO 斯毕根斯(Theo Spierings)在一份书面报告中仍表示说，“价格波动很正常，但今年市场可能异常困难。中期来看，全球市场的不确定风险在上升。”
今年原料奶价格的下跌降低了恒天然的成本，使得该公司利润上升，但是却使得该公司农民股东的收入锐减。恒天然已经将其全年的红利预期定为每股0.4到0.5新西兰元，比起去年的每股0.25到0.35新西兰元显著上升。
在恒天然公司为困境中的农民提供了4.3亿新西兰元的无息贷款后，该公司的负债水平更加高企，杠杆比例从2014年的42.3%上升至今年的49.7%。直逼2008年的高点。在2008年受全球金融危机的影响，该公司负债累累，杠杆比率最高达到80%。
为了削减成本，恒天然还在继续进行从去年底就开始的业务重整工作。本周一该公司宣布再裁减227个岗位，使得裁减岗位数目达到750个，占该公司全球16,000名员工的4%。恒天然的股票价格本周三达到每股5.24美元，为近5个月以来最高。本月该股票涨幅已达9%，如果持续下去，将成为三年来月度上涨最快的股票。
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