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摩根大通资产管理公司(JPMorgan Asset Management)表示，由于美国经济表现出色且利率上升，美元在短期内应该会升值，但在长期的贸易战风险中，美元将会转为贬值。
摩根大通资产管理驻墨尔本全球市场策略师Kerry Craig指出，在减税和财政刺激的支撑下，强劲的经济增长可能会为美元提供短暂的支撑。
尽管摩根大通认为中美贸易摩擦是一场“小冲突”，而不是一场全面的贸易战，但旷日持久的谈判可能会对美元未来的表现构成压力。
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(图片：BK资产管理、财经网)
上周三，中国宣布对106个美国产品征收关税，以报复美国最初对中国主要出口商品征收关税的计划。在此之前，美国总统特朗普威胁要对其征收更多关税。
他表示，他已要求美国贸易代表考虑对中国征收1000亿美元的额外关税。因此，对贸易战正在酝酿的担忧令投资者情绪不安。
不过在周二(4月10日)亚洲交易时段，中国国家主席习近平对全球贸易的支持缓解了外界对贸易战升级的担忧情绪。
中国国家主席习近平在博鳌亚洲论坛2018年年会开幕式发表主旨演讲，习近平主席承诺推进改革和开放中国市场，同时支持全球贸易。
在Craig看来，美国的赤字问题，加上政治不确定性，应会在较长期内令美元走弱。
他说道：“从历史上来看，美元贬值对新兴市场是好消息，但美元走软也意味着欧元和日元走强。”
彭博美元即期指数(Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index)在过去一年已经下挫8.5%。
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