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周一(7月12日)亞市盤中，美元指數略微上漲，現報92.15左右。本周財經事件方面，美聯儲主席鮑威爾的國會作證無疑是投資者最為關鍵的事件，預計將引爆本周市場行情。Kshitij咨詢服務團隊周一最新撰文，對美元指數、歐元/美元、歐元/日元、美元/日元、澳元/美元、英鎊/美元以及美元/人民幣後市走勢進行前瞻分析。
香港時間周四淩晨00:00，美聯儲主席鮑威爾將在眾議院金融服務委員會就半年度貨幣政策報告做證詞陳述。隨後香港時間周四21:30，鮑威爾將在參議院銀行委員會就半年度貨幣政策報告做證詞陳述。
荷蘭國際集團首席國際經濟學家James Knightley表示，鑒於經濟內部的供應面緊張，政策收緊的可能時機正在提前，鮑威爾可能會給出更明確的暗示，即今年將開始縮減量化寬松資產購買規模。
值得注意的是，美聯儲主席鮑威爾在近期國會作證時意外發表鴿派言論。假如鮑威爾再度“放鴿”，這可能打壓美元走勢，並推動其它主要貨幣上漲。
當地時間6月22日，美聯儲主席鮑威爾在眾議院聽證會上表示，美聯儲不會因為通脹就先發制人地提高利率，而是將耐心等候其他經濟數據。
當地時間上周五(7月9日)，美聯儲向國會提交了半年度貨幣政策報告。報告指出，自新冠疫情爆發以來，美聯儲堅持進行資產購買，並且承諾在實現通脹和就業目標前不會加息，這些舉措將有助於確保貨幣政策繼續為經濟提供強力支持，直到經濟完全複蘇。
美國聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)上周三公布的會議紀要顯示，多數委員一致認為，美國經濟尚未達到美聯儲為任何重大政策轉變設定的“實質性進一步進展”標準。
Kshitij咨詢服務團隊就主要貨幣對的走勢撰文,以下是文章的主要觀點:
美元指數
美元指數在此前下跌後再度從92反彈。該指數需要跌破92，才能形成中期看跌情緒。否則美元指數短期內可能仍然在9293區間內交易。
(美元指數日線圖 來源：Kshitij)
歐元/美元
歐元/美元近期出現顯著反彈，短期內可能測試1.19。長期來看，歐元/美元需要持續突破1.19，才能向1.1950甚至更高水平反彈。
(歐元/美元日線圖 來源：Kshitij)
歐元/日元
歐元/日元已經從上周低點129.62大幅反彈。短期趨勢阻力位預計在131，如果無法攻克這一阻力，這可能推動該貨幣對在較長內跌向129.60129.00。需要關注歐元/日元在131附近的價格走勢。
(歐元/日元日線圖 來源：Kshitij)
美元/日元
美元/日元已從上周的109.53大幅上漲。這與我們此前預期一致，即美元/日元會在109.50受到支撐。只要維持在109.50上方，那麼對美元/日元的短期觀點仍是看漲。
(美元/日元日線圖 來源：Kshitij)
澳元/美元
澳元/美元一度上漲並測試0.75，但隨後再次回落。只要保持在0.75下方，那麼澳元/美元仍有可能在0.750.74區間內持續幾個交易日，然後朝區間任何一端實現突破。
(澳元/美元日線圖 來源：Kshitij)
英鎊/美元
英鎊/美元也出現顯著反彈。只要保持在1.37上方，那麼該貨幣對料測試1.40，之後料出現新一輪跌勢。未來幾周，1.371.40的整體區間可能保持不變。如果英鎊/美元跌破1.37，則前景將轉為看跌。
(英鎊/美元周線圖 來源：Kshitij)
美元/人民幣
美元/人民幣前景看空，短期內可能跌破6.46，並跌向6.45/44，然後反彈至更高水平。
(美元/人民幣日線圖 )
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