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投行美银美林(BAML)大宗商品分析师布朗齐(Francisco Blanch)周四(2月26日)接受CNBC采访时表示，金价在2015年的余下时间将会进一步承压下行，因美联储(FED)将接近加息时机。不过，该行指出，金价未来几年的前景是充满前途的。
布朗齐称，眼下投资者对持有黄金不感兴趣，因他们认为美联储将加息。因此，他认为在未来三个月时间内，金价将面临下行风险，跌至1100美元/盎司是很有可能的。不过，他指出，如果将眼光锚定未来23年，金价将迎来光明前程。
金价今年开局靓丽，1月份上涨8%左右。然而，受美联储加息预期以及股市涨幅削弱黄金吸引力，金价因而已经回吐了多数涨幅。国际现货黄金现交投于1200美元/盎司一线上方。
布朗齐对黄金的长期看涨观点受两大因素驱动：
首先，负收益率债券越来越多，这使得黄金相较之下更加吸引人。
布朗齐称，有更多的政府债券收益率处于零或负值。随着这类债券的增加，布朗齐认为许多投资者将开始质疑他们为什么要持有负债，而不是去持有诸如黄金那样的实质资产。
在瑞士、德国、芬兰以及许多其他欧洲国家，按名义价值计算，政府债券收益率正处于负值区间，而且随着欧洲央行(ECB)的量化宽松(QE)计划运作，收益率料将进一步下滑。
据投行摩根大通(JPMorgan)，在2月份的第一周，有多达3.6万亿美元政府债券收益率为负值，相当于该行跟踪的全球政府债券指数的26%。
布朗齐称，另一个支撑其长期看涨黄金的因素是美联储。当市场醒悟，发觉实际上美联储即便是加息，其幅度也将是有限之时，这将帮助黄金上涨。
布朗齐称，美联储的加息幅度不太可能超过75个基点。一旦市场开始对美联储加息幅度有一个上限预期，金价将很有可能受投资者青睐，趋向上行。
布朗齐并不是唯一长期看涨黄金的投资者。澳新银行(ANZ)大宗商品策略师维克多(Victor Thianpiriya)同样预计黄金价格将在自现在起的两到三年内上破其窄幅交投区间。
维克多称，一旦美联储加息结束，金价将获得复苏的基础。他称，金价在未来两年有涨至15001600美元/盎司的空间。
维克多对金价长期看涨的观点受到其对美元看法的驱动。他预计，随着欧元区经济重上正轨，美元牛市将凋零。
他称，未来两年，随着欧洲央行刺激措施的运行，欧元区经济增长将多多少少重上正轨，通胀也将开始复苏，这将提振欧元(兑美元)走高。
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