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贝莱德(Blackrock)称，今年股市和债市将有不同的走向，对股票投资者来说，这就意味着避险选择的出现。
在去年年末，股市和债市出现的负相关性开始显现，美股下跌的情况下，债券价格则在走高。这逆转了去年年初两者同时上涨的状态，当时高盛(Goldman Sachs)将其称为“平衡的熊市”，使得债券作为股票避险的功能失效。
贝莱德全球首席投资策略师Richard Turnill表示，在全球经济进入周期末的情况下，股市和债市的负相关性回归，并且预计在今年将继续维持这种状态。
债券为股市提供了一个更稳定的保险。
Turnill指出，要两者同时下跌，那么意味着通胀要大幅走高，并且美联储变得非常鹰派。总体来说，经济数据将成为推动市场的主因。
从11月末以来，标普500指数下跌了约6%，而巴克莱美国债券指数则上涨了约2%。
不过贝莱德表示，对美国债券持中性态度，认为短期而言，市场对经济走弱的担忧有些过度，投资者们应当等待收益率走高再增持。
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